Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Al-Qadisiyah FC is a heavy favourite: 2,048 Elo points against 1,712, a 337-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Riyadh
4-2-3-1- 7Trézéguet
- 10T. Okou
- 22V. Lekhal
- 14Essam Bahri
- 6K. Keita
- 19A. M. Al Harthi
- 12Sulaiman Hazazi
- 67Mohammed Al Khaibari
- 26R. Abascal
- 79F. Al Jayzani
- 82M. Borjan
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-4-2-1- 33J. Quiñones
- 10Musab Al Juwayr
- 2Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
- 22C. Bonsu Baah
- 14T. Reijnders
- 5J. Weigl
- 15Mohammed Al Qahtani
- 6Nacho
- 17G. Álvarez
- 4Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
- 1K. Casteels
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riyadh have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Qadisiyah FC have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-5 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-3 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Wasl FC(home) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 3-3 | Pro League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 3-1 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Riyadh win, 1 draw, 4 Al-Qadisiyah FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Al Riyadh 0-4 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 4-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Al Riyadh 2-1 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Al Riyadh 1-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Division 1 |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-1 Al Riyadh | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riyadh score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Qadisiyah FC score 2.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 1.2 | 1.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Riyadh sit 11th in Pro League (8 points from 7 matches) and Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 4th (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC played?
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC is played on October 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.