Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Al Awal Park at King Saud University, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,847 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab?
Al-Nassr starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (2,138 vs 1,846).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Nassr
4-4-2- 79João Félix
- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 10S. Mané
- 17Abdullah Al Khaibari
- 20Ângelo
- 9Abdullah Al Hamdan
- 12Nawaf Boushal
- 26Íñigo Martínez
- 23Ayman Yahya
- 5Abdulelah Al Amri
- 24Bento
Al Shabab
4-4-2- 9Roger Martínez
- 49Ricardo Mathias
- 29Y. Adli
- 8J. Brownhill
- 11Daniel Podence
- 10Y. Carrasco
- 4T. Jedvaj
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
- 21Dhari Al Anazi
- 55Ali Al Bulayhi
- 1M. Diaw
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Nassr have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Al Shabab have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Pakhtakor(away) | 6-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 5-3 | Pro League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 6-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 2-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al-Nassr wins, 1 draw, 0 Al Shabab wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Al Shabab 2-4 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Al-Nassr 3-2 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Al-Nassr 2-2 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Al Shabab 2-3 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Al Shabab 2-5 Al-Nassr | King's Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Nassr score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shabab score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Al Shabab | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Nassr sit 3rd in Pro League (28 points from 11 matches) and Al Shabab sit 10th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab played?
- Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab is played on November 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Al Awal Park at King Saud University, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.