Abha vs Al Riyadh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Abha
The Footlab AI model makes Abha the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Abha wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abha vs Al Riyadh?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Abha (1,748) and Al Riyadh (1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Abha vs Al Riyadh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Abha
4-5-1- 44M. Batshuayi
- 7Firas Al-Ghamdi
- 10N. Fekir
- 19Abdullah Al Fahad
- 17Abdulkarim Darisi
- 11A. Gory
- 3J. Gaari
- 37Abdulbasit Al-Hindi
- 39M. Al-Zaid
- 80Safwan Saud
- 16D. Léon
Al Riyadh
4-2-3-1- 11H. Al Ali
- 10T. Okou
- 22V. Lekhal
- 14Essam Bahri
- 6K. Keita
- 43B. Mensah
- 12Sulaiman Hazazi
- 26R. Abascal
- 2Sultan Alessa
- 67Mohammed Al Khaibari
- 82M. Borjan
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abha have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Al Riyadh have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-5 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Abha win, 2 draws, 1 Al Riyadh win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | Al Riyadh 1-1 Abha | Pro League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Abha 0-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Feb 2, 2018 | Abha 1-0 Al Riyadh | Division 2 |
| Nov 17, 2017 | Al Riyadh 1-1 Abha | Division 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Abha score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Riyadh score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Riyadh | 1.2 | 1.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abha sit 18th in Pro League (2 points from 7 matches) and Al Riyadh sit 11th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
A question about Abha vs Al Riyadh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abha vs Al Riyadh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Abha the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Abha vs Al Riyadh played?
- Abha vs Al Riyadh is played on November 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.