Al-Jolan SC vs Al Minaa Basra: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Al-Jolan SC the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Al Minaa Basra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Jolan SC vs Al Minaa Basra?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Al-Jolan SC (1,474) and Al Minaa Basra (1,475).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Al-Jolan SC have 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Al Minaa Basra have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 24, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Jolan SC score 0.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 3; Al Minaa Basra score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jolan SC | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0/3 | 0/3 |
| Al Minaa Basra | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Jolan SC sit 11th in Iraqi League (4 points from 3 matches) and Al Minaa Basra sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Minaa Basra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Al-Jolan SC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Jolan SC vs Al Minaa Basra?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Jolan SC the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Al Minaa Basra.
- Where and when is Al-Jolan SC vs Al Minaa Basra played?
- Al-Jolan SC vs Al Minaa Basra is played on May 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.