Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Maysan International Stadium, Al Amarah
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Naft Maysan. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,838 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
Al-Karma starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,491).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naft Maysan
Not enough data to predict the Naft Maysan lineup.
Al-Karma
Not enough data to predict the Al-Karma lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 08:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft Maysan have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Karma have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Naft Maysan wins, 1 draw, 1 Al-Karma win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Naft Maysan 1-1 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Al-Karma 3-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Naft Maysan 3-2 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Al-Karma 1-2 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naft Maysan score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Karma score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Maysan | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Al-Karma | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft Maysan sit 19th in Iraqi League (8 points from 11 matches) and Al-Karma sit 2nd (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 24 |
| 19 | Naft Maysan | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Naft Maysan.
- Where and when is Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma played?
- Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma is played on May 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Maysan International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.