Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Maysan International Stadium, Al Amarah
The Footlab model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Naft Maysan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
Al-Karma starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft Maysan have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Karma have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-4 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 14, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Naft Maysan win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Al-Karma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Naft Maysan 1-1 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Al-Karma 3-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Naft Maysan 3-2 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Al-Karma 1-2 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naft Maysan score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Karma score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Maysan | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Karma | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft Maysan sit 16th in Iraqi League (2 points from 3 matches) and Al-Karma sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Karma | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Naft Maysan | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Naft Maysan.
- Where and when is Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma played?
- Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma is played on May 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Maysan International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.