Al-Jolan SC vs Newroz: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Al-Jolan SC the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Newroz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Jolan SC vs Newroz?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Al-Jolan SC (1,480) and Newroz (1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Al-Jolan SC have 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Newroz have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 3-3 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Naft(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 20, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Jolan SC score 0.5 and concede 0.0 goals per match over their last 2; Newroz score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jolan SC | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 0/2 | 0/2 |
| Newroz | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Jolan SC sit 7th in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Newroz sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al-Jolan SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Newroz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Jolan SC vs Newroz?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Jolan SC the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Newroz.
- Where and when is Al-Jolan SC vs Newroz played?
- Al-Jolan SC vs Newroz is played on September 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.