Al-Jolan SC vs Karbala: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Jolan SC the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Karbala. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Jolan SC vs Karbala?
Al-Jolan SC starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,486 vs 1,341).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Jolan SC vs Karbala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Jolan SC
Not enough data to predict the Al-Jolan SC lineup.
Karbala
Not enough data to predict the Karbala lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Al-Jolan SC have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Karbala have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Newroz(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Naft(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Jolan SC score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 9; Karbala score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jolan SC | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 3/9 | 2/9 |
| Karbala | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Jolan SC sit 10th in Iraqi League (11 points from 9 matches) and Karbala sit 20th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al-Jolan SC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
| 20 | Karbala | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Al-Jolan SC vs Karbala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Jolan SC vs Karbala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Jolan SC the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Karbala.
- Where and when is Al-Jolan SC vs Karbala played?
- Al-Jolan SC vs Karbala is played on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.