Al Kharaitiyat vs Al-Gharafa B: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Khwar Stadium, Al-Khor
The Footlab model makes Al Kharaitiyat the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Al-Gharafa B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Kharaitiyat vs Al-Gharafa B?
Al Kharaitiyat starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Kharaitiyat have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Gharafa B have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al Shamal II(away) | 0-0 | Second Division |
| May 8, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 0-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al Waab(home) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muaither SC(away) | 2-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Al-Khor(home) | 2-2 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 3, 2017 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 1-6 | Second Division |
| Mar 8, 2017 | Umm Salal B(home) | 10-1 | Second Division |
| Mar 5, 2017 | El Jaish SC B(home) | 2-1 | Second Division |
| Feb 12, 2017 | Al Shahaniya II(home) | 1-5 | Second Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Kharaitiyat score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Gharafa B score 2.3 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kharaitiyat | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Al-Gharafa B | 2.3 | 3.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Kharaitiyat sit 7th in Second Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Al-Gharafa B sit 4th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Gharafa B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Al Kharaitiyat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Kharaitiyat vs Al-Gharafa B?
- The Footlab model makes Al Kharaitiyat the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Al-Gharafa B.
- Where and when is Al Kharaitiyat vs Al-Gharafa B played?
- Al Kharaitiyat vs Al-Gharafa B is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Khwar Stadium, in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.