Al Mesaimeer vs Qatar U23: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Seliah Stadium, Ar-Rayyan
The Footlab model makes Al Mesaimeer the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Qatar U23. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Mesaimeer vs Qatar U23?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Al Mesaimeer (1,552) and Qatar U23 (1,559).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Mesaimeer have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Qatar U23 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 1-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 1-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al Waab(home) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lusail City(away) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 0-2 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Republic of Ireland U21(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Croatia U21(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| May 27, 2026 | Greece U21(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| May 13, 2026 | Oman U23(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| May 11, 2026 | Oman U23(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Mesaimeer score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Qatar U23 score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Mesaimeer | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Qatar U23 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Mesaimeer | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Mesaimeer vs Qatar U23?
- The Footlab model makes Al Mesaimeer the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Qatar U23.
- Where and when is Al Mesaimeer vs Qatar U23 played?
- Al Mesaimeer vs Qatar U23 is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Seliah Stadium, in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.