Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Al-Gharafa B the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Al Waab. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Al-Gharafa B (1,490) and Al Waab (1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Gharafa B have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Al Waab have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 3, 2017 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 1-6 | Second Division |
| Mar 8, 2017 | Umm Salal B(home) | 10-1 | Second Division |
| Mar 5, 2017 | El Jaish SC B(home) | 2-1 | Second Division |
| Feb 12, 2017 | Al Shahaniya II(home) | 1-5 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(away) | 1-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 2-0 | Second Division |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 1-3 | QSL Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Gharafa B score 2.3 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Waab score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa B | 2.3 | 3.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Al Waab | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Gharafa B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Gharafa B the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Al Waab.
- Where and when is Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab played?
- Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab is played on November 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.