Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Waab the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Al-Gharafa B. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab?
Al Waab starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,552 vs 1,435).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Gharafa B
Not enough data to predict the Al-Gharafa B lineup.
Al Waab
4-3-3- 77Ousseynou Cesar Gueye
- 20Baha' Faisal
- 9A. Fowadah
- 8Diogo Abreu
- 24M. Seye
- 5Anas Elfadil Ahmed
- 26A. Bakayoko
- 74A. Ragab
- 55E. Endurance
- 15A. Issa
- 90F. Plaia
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 08:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Gharafa B have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Al Waab have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 0-5 | Second Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 3, 2017 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 1-6 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | UMM Salal(home) | 0-1 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 1-0 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Qatar U23(home) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Al Shamal II(away) | 2-0 | Second Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Gharafa B score 1.9 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Waab score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa B | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Al Waab | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Gharafa B sit 11th in Second Division (1 point from 4 matches) and Al Waab sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Waab | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Al-Gharafa B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
A question about Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Waab the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Al-Gharafa B.
- Where and when is Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab played?
- Al-Gharafa B vs Al Waab is played on November 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.