Al Merreikh vs Al Hilal Omdurman: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Al-Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman
The Footlab model makes Al Hilal Omdurman the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Al Merreikh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Merreikh vs Al Hilal Omdurman?
Al Hilal Omdurman starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Merreikh have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Al Hilal Omdurman have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| May 27, 2026 | APR(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 22, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 17, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | KVZ(away) | 4-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al Merreikh win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Al Hilal Omdurman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Al Merreikh 1-1 Al Hilal Omdurman | National Soccer League |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman 1-2 Al Merreikh | National Soccer League |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Al Hilal Omdurman 4-0 Al Merreikh | Sudani Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Al Hilal Omdurman 0-1 Al Merreikh | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Al Merreikh 0-2 Al Hilal Omdurman | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Al Hilal Omdurman 0-0 Al Merreikh | Sudani Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Merreikh vs Al Hilal Omdurman on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Merreikh score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Hilal Omdurman score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Merreikh | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Hilal Omdurman | 1.8 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Merreikh sit 3rd in National Soccer League (59 points from 34 matches) and Al Hilal Omdurman sit 1st (75 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 25 | 75 |
| 3 | Al Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41 | 24 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Merreikh vs Al Hilal Omdurman?
- The Footlab model makes Al Hilal Omdurman the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Al Merreikh.
- Where and when is Al Merreikh vs Al Hilal Omdurman played?
- Al Merreikh vs Al Hilal Omdurman is played on May 1, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Merreikh Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.