Al Merreikh vs Etincelles: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueMatchday 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Al-Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman
The Footlab AI model makes Al Merreikh the favourite at 57%, against 28% for a draw and 15% for Etincelles. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,794 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Merreikh vs Etincelles?
Al Merreikh starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,741 vs 1,587).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Merreikh vs Etincelles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Merreikh
4-3-3- 29Ramadan Agab
- 32S. Patiño
- 28A. Balouchy
- 7Mohamed Al Rashed
- 8Wagdi Awad
- 30Anas Mohamed
- 13Ahmed Yousif Tabanja
- 2Adam Babajide
- 33Dia Wah Mickaël
- 25Elsamani Saadeldin
- 16O. Ojo
Etincelles
Not enough data to predict the Etincelles lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 09:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Merreikh have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Etincelles have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(home) | 3-0 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sunrise(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Horoya(home) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | APR(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marines(home) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bugesera(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Al Merreikh wins, 0 draws, 0 Etincelles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Al Merreikh 4-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Etincelles 1-2 Al Merreikh | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Al Merreikh vs Etincelles on May 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Merreikh score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Etincelles score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Merreikh | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Etincelles | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Merreikh sit 17th in National Soccer League (6 points from 4 matches) and Etincelles sit 16th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Etincelles | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Merreikh | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
A question about Al Merreikh vs Etincelles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Merreikh vs Etincelles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Merreikh the favourite at 57%, against 28% for a draw and 15% for Etincelles.
- Where and when is Al Merreikh vs Etincelles played?
- Al Merreikh vs Etincelles is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Merreikh Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.