Rayon Sports vs Bugesera: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kigali Pelé Stadium, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Bugesera. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,073 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayon Sports vs Bugesera?
Rayon Sports starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,653).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rayon Sports vs Bugesera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rayon Sports
4-3-3- 21Eid Mugadam
- 7B. Bimenyimana
- 20Ismaïla Diarra
- 11Héritier Luvumbu Nzinga
- 30Joackiam Ojera
- 8A. Mussa
- 4Abdul Rwatubyaye
- 2A. Serumogo
- 23I. Mitima
- 5A. Mutsinzi
- 22A. Hakizimana
Bugesera
Not enough data to predict the Bugesera lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayon Sports have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Bugesera have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Marines(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 3-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Black Bulls Maputo(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Black Bulls Maputo(home) | 0-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Amagaju(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gasogi United(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rayon Sports wins, 0 draws, 2 Bugesera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Rayon Sports 2-0 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Bugesera 2-1 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| May 21, 2025 | Bugesera 2-1 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Rayon Sports 2-0 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Bugesera 1-2 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Rayon Sports 1-0 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Rayon Sports vs Bugesera on May 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rayon Sports score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bugesera score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayon Sports | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Bugesera | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayon Sports sit 10th in National Soccer League (8 points from 5 matches) and Bugesera sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bugesera | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Rayon Sports | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
A question about Rayon Sports vs Bugesera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayon Sports vs Bugesera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Bugesera.
- Where and when is Rayon Sports vs Bugesera played?
- Rayon Sports vs Bugesera is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kigali Pelé Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.