Al Minaa Basra vs Karbala: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Basra International Stadium, Basra
The Footlab AI model makes Al Minaa Basra the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Karbala. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Karbala?
Al Minaa Basra starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,478 vs 1,341).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Minaa Basra vs Karbala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Minaa Basra
Not enough data to predict the Al Minaa Basra lineup.
Karbala
Not enough data to predict the Karbala lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Minaa Basra have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Karbala have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Naft(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Al Minaa Basra wins, 1 draw, 1 Karbala win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2025 | Al Minaa Basra 3-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Karbala 1-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Karbala 1-2 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Minaa Basra vs Karbala on May 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Al Minaa Basra score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karbala score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Minaa Basra | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Karbala | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Minaa Basra sit 8th in Iraqi League (12 points from 9 matches) and Karbala sit 20th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Minaa Basra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 20 | Karbala | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Al Minaa Basra vs Karbala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Minaa Basra vs Karbala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Minaa Basra the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Karbala.
- Where and when is Al Minaa Basra vs Karbala played?
- Al Minaa Basra vs Karbala is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Basra International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.