Newroz vs Al-Karma: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Newroz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Karma wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newroz vs Al-Karma?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Newroz (1,577) and Al-Karma (1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newroz vs Al-Karma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newroz
Not enough data to predict the Newroz lineup.
Al-Karma
Not enough data to predict the Al-Karma lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newroz have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Al-Karma have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Newroz wins, 0 draws, 1 Al-Karma win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Al-Karma 2-0 Newroz | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newroz score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Karma score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newroz | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Al-Karma | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newroz sit 2nd in Iraqi League (18 points from 9 matches) and Al-Karma sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Newroz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
A question about Newroz vs Al-Karma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newroz vs Al-Karma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Newroz.
- Where and when is Newroz vs Al-Karma played?
- Newroz vs Al-Karma is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.