Al-Nahda vs Sur: prediction and stats
Professional LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Al Nahdha Stadium, Al-Buraimi
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nahda the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Sur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Nahda wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Nahda vs Sur?
Al-Nahda starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,428).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Nahda vs Sur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Nahda
4-3-3- 10P. Oloumou
- 99Ameer Khadim
- 7H. Al Habsi
- 20Blarin Audavy Kibama Maloula
- 8Mohammed Al Hinai
- 21M. Al Habsi
- 47Ahmed Al Kaabi
- 25Ghanim Al Habashi
- 13A. A. Al Shamousi
- 4T. Al Rushaidi
- 88F. Al Rusheidi
Sur
4-3-3- 9M. Abagana
- 10Mohammed Khamis Al Senani
- 45Ahmed Khalfan Al Alawi
- 27Saud Al Farsi
- 7Aiman Ibrahim Hikal
- 28H. Touré
- 6B. Ouattara
- 24Abdul Khaliq Fayiz
- 12Badar Khamis Al Farsi
- 32Abdul Rahman Al Breiki
- 80Faris Al Ghaithi
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Nahda have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sur have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sohar(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ibri(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Saham(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Al Seeb(home) | 1-1 | Professional League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saham(away) | 0-1 | Professional League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Oman Club(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Smail(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bahla(home) | 1-3 | Professional League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Seeb(away) | 0-2 | Professional League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Al-Nahda wins, 2 draws, 0 Sur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Al-Nahda 3-2 Sur | FA Cup |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Sur 1-1 Al-Nahda | Professional League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Al-Nahda 4-2 Sur | Sultan Cup |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Sur 0-2 Al-Nahda | Sultan Cup |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Al-Nahda 4-2 Sur | Professional League |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Al-Nahda 1-1 Sur | Professional League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Nahda score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sur score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nahda | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Sur | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Nahda sit 4th in Professional League (7 points from 3 matches) and Sur sit 14th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Nahda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Sur | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
A question about Al-Nahda vs Sur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Nahda vs Sur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nahda the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Sur.
- Where and when is Al-Nahda vs Sur played?
- Al-Nahda vs Sur is played on October 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Al Nahdha Stadium, in the Professional League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.