Al Taee vs Al Najma: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC)Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium, Ha'il (Hail)
The Footlab model makes Al Taee the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Al Najma. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Taee vs Al Najma?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Al Taee (1,623) and Al Najma (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Taee have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Al Najma have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Okhdood(home) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 0-5 | King's Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Jeddah Club(home) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Baten(away) | 1-4 | Division 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Al Jandal(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Jandal(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Al Shabab(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| May 14, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| May 9, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 2-2 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Al Taee win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Al Najma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | Al Taee 0-3 Al Najma | Division 1 |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Al Najma 3-0 Al Taee | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Taee score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Najma score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taee | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Al Najma | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Taee sit 17th in Division 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Al Najma sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Najma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taee | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Taee vs Al Najma?
- The Footlab model makes Al Taee the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Al Najma.
- Where and when is Al Taee vs Al Najma played?
- Al Taee vs Al Najma is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.