Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium, Ardiyah
The Footlab model makes Al Nasar the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Al Tadhamon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Al Nasar (1,499) and Al Tadhamon (1,424).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Nasar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Al Tadhamon have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Jahra(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Kazma(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 30, 2026 | Al Arabi(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Shabab(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Nasar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Jahra(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al Nasar win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Al Tadhamon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Tadhamon 1-1 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Al Tadhamon 1-3 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Al Tadhamon 0-4 Al Nasar | Crown Prince Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Al Nasar 0-1 Al Tadhamon | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Al Nasar 0-2 Al Tadhamon | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Al Tadhamon 1-0 Al Nasar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Tadhamon vs Al Nasar on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Nasar score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Tadhamon score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nasar | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Tadhamon | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Nasar sit 8th in Premier League (19 points from 19 matches) and Al Tadhamon sit 7th (21 points from 19 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Tadhamon | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 21 |
| 8 | Al Nasar | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
- The Footlab model makes Al Nasar the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Al Tadhamon.
- Where and when is Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon played?
- Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.