Al Nasr vs Sur: prediction and stats
Professional LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 01:05 PM (UTC)Al-Saada Stadium, Salalah
The Footlab AI model makes Al Nasr the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Sur. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Sur?
Al Nasr starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,553 vs 1,423).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Nasr vs Sur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Nasr
4-3-3- 14D. Djermanovič
- 20Omer Al Malki
- 23Júnior Dutra
- 10Mohamed Al Habsi
- 81Sultan Bin Ali
- 21Abdullah Al Hamar
- 2Mahmood Mabrook
- 11R. Elsner
- 4Fahad Al Hashimi
- 30Joan Oumari
- 1Ahmed Al Rawahi
Sur
4-3-3- 9M. Abagana
- 10Mohammed Khamis Al Senani
- 45Ahmed Khalfan Al Alawi
- 27Saud Al Farsi
- 7Aiman Ibrahim Hikal
- 28H. Touré
- 6B. Ouattara
- 24Abdul Khaliq Fayiz
- 12Badar Khamis Al Farsi
- 32Abdul Rahman Al Breiki
- 80Faris Al Ghaithi
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 11:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Nasr have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sur have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bahla(away) | 0-1 | Professional League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Seeb(home) | 1-0 | Professional League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Smail(home) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Fanja(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Bahla(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oman Club(home) | 2-1 | Professional League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al-Nahda(away) | 1-5 | Professional League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saham(away) | 0-1 | Professional League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Oman Club(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Smail(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Al Nasr wins, 1 draw, 1 Sur win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Al Nasr 1-0 Sur | Professional League |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Al Nasr 3-0 Sur | FA Cup |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Sur 0-2 Al Nasr | Professional League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Al Nasr 0-0 Sur | Professional League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Sur 1-0 Al Nasr | Professional League |
| May 19, 2024 | Al Nasr 2-0 Sur | Professional League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Nasr score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sur score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nasr | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sur | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Nasr sit 3rd in Professional League (12 points from 4 matches) and Sur sit 14th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Nasr | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 | Sur | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 0 |
A question about Al Nasr vs Sur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Nasr vs Sur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Nasr the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Sur.
- Where and when is Al Nasr vs Sur played?
- Al Nasr vs Sur is played on November 4, 2026 at 01:05 PM (UTC) at Al-Saada Stadium, in the Professional League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.