Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Riyadh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Khobar
The Footlab model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Riyadh?
Al-Qadisiyah FC is a heavy favourite: 2,066 Elo points against 1,720, a 346-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Qadisiyah FC have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Al Riyadh have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Taee(away) | 5-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Levante(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Al-Qadisiyah FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Al Riyadh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Al Riyadh 0-4 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 4-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Al Riyadh 2-1 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Al Riyadh 1-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Division 1 |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-1 Al Riyadh | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Qadisiyah FC score 2.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al Riyadh score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Riyadh | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 5th in Pro League (6 points from 3 matches) and Al Riyadh sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Riyadh?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Riyadh played?
- Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Riyadh is played on April 29, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.