Al Riyadh vs Al-Fateh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al Riyadh the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Al-Fateh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Fateh?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Al Riyadh (1,719) and Al-Fateh (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riyadh have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Fateh have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al Riyadh win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Al-Fateh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Al Riyadh 1-0 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Al-Fateh 3-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Al-Fateh 2-0 Al Riyadh | King's Cup |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Al Riyadh 2-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Al-Fateh 1-2 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| May 2, 2024 | Al-Fateh 2-2 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Riyadh vs Al-Fateh on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riyadh score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Riyadh sit 18th in Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Al-Fateh sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Al-Fateh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riyadh vs Al-Fateh?
- The Footlab model makes Al Riyadh the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Al-Fateh.
- Where and when is Al Riyadh vs Al-Fateh played?
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Fateh is played on May 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.