Al Orubah vs Damac: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 5, 2027 at 12:40 PM (UTC)Al-Jouf University Stadium, Sakākā (Sakakah)
The Footlab model makes Al Orubah the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Damac. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Orubah vs Damac?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Al Orubah (1,729) and Damac (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Orubah have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Damac have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Raed(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Jeddah Club(away) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Saqer(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-4 | Pro League |
| May 15, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| May 10, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Orubah win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Damac win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | Damac 1-2 Al Orubah | Pro League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Al Orubah 1-0 Damac | Pro League |
| Feb 13, 2019 | Damac 4-2 Al Orubah | Division 1 |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Al Orubah 0-2 Damac | Division 1 |
| Apr 18, 2018 | Al Orubah 1-1 Damac | Division 1 |
| Dec 19, 2017 | Damac 1-2 Al Orubah | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Orubah score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Damac score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Orubah | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Damac | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Orubah sit 14th in Division 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Damac sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Damac | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Al Orubah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Orubah vs Damac?
- The Footlab model makes Al Orubah the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Damac.
- Where and when is Al Orubah vs Damac played?
- Al Orubah vs Damac is played on January 5, 2027 at 12:40 PM (UTC) at Al-Jouf University Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.