Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Al-Sadd Stadium), Doha
The Footlab model makes Al Sadd the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Al-Duhail SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC?
Al Sadd starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Sadd have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Al-Duhail SC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 1-4 | Emir Cup |
| May 5, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 4-1 | Emir Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Sailiya(home) | 2-0 | Stars League |
| May 5, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 1-4 | Emir Cup |
| May 1, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(home) | 4-0 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Sadd win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Al-Duhail SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC 1-4 Al Sadd | Emir Cup |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC 1-3 Al Sadd | Stars League |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Al Sadd 0-0 Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| May 10, 2025 | Al Sadd 2-2 Al-Duhail SC | Qatar Cup |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Al Sadd 2-0 Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Al-Duhail SC 5-1 Al Sadd | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Duhail SC vs Al Sadd on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Sadd score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Duhail SC score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Sadd | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| Al-Duhail SC | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Sadd sit 1st in Stars League (3 points from 1 matches) and Al-Duhail SC sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Sadd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Al-Duhail SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC?
- The Footlab model makes Al Sadd the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Al-Duhail SC.
- Where and when is Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC played?
- Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC is played on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Al-Sadd Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.