Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail SC: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Thani Bin Jassim Stadium (Al-Gharafah Stadium), Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Duhail SC the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Al-Gharafa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Duhail SC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,767 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail SC?
Al-Duhail SC starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,671).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Gharafa
4-2-3-1- 7F. Coman
- 29F. Díaz
- 96A. Ounas
- 8Y. Brahimi
- 10I. Bennacer
- 13F. Sassi
- 18Ayoub Al Oui
- 23Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla
- 4S. Sano
- 6Dame Traoré
- 1Khalifa Ababacar
Al-Duhail SC
4-2-3-1- 9K. Piątek
- 19Almoez Ali
- 24B. Soumaré
- 8Mubarak Shanan Hamza
- 6M. Verratti
- 7S. Yansané
- 21J. Castelletto
- 18Sultan Al Braik
- 5Bassam Al Rawi
- 22I. Bamba
- 1Salah Zakaria
Known absences
Assim MadiboOut · Suspended (red card)
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Gharafa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Al-Duhail SC have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 0-5 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 2-0 | Stars League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 0-0 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 0-3 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut(away) | 2-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 3-2 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Gharafa win, 2 draws, 3 Al-Duhail SC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC 3-2 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Al-Duhail SC 1-0 Al-Gharafa | QSL Cup |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 3-1 Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Al-Duhail SC 0-0 Al-Gharafa | Qatar Cup |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 0-2 Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Al-Duhail SC 1-1 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Gharafa on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Gharafa score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Duhail SC score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Al-Duhail SC | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Gharafa sit 9th in Stars League (9 points from 8 matches) and Al-Duhail SC sit 3rd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Duhail SC | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Duhail SC the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Al-Gharafa.
- Where and when is Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail SC played?
- Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail SC is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Thani Bin Jassim Stadium (Al-Gharafah Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.