Al Shabab vs Al Diriyah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Diriyah?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Al Shabab (1,792) and Al Diriyah (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shabab have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Al Diriyah have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 3-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 2-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 1-4 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shabab score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Diriyah score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Al Diriyah | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shabab sit 13th in Pro League (2 points from 3 matches) and Al Diriyah sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al Diriyah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shabab vs Al Diriyah?
- The Footlab model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al Shabab vs Al Diriyah played?
- Al Shabab vs Al Diriyah is played on May 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.