Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC is a heavy favourite: 2,181 Elo points against 1,790 — a 390-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shabab have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Al-Hilal Saudi FC have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 2-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Raed(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Shabab win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Al Shabab 3-5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1-0 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-2 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Al Shabab 3-4 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-0 Al Shabab | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shabab score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Hilal Saudi FC score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shabab sit 17th in Pro League (0 points from 1 matches) and Al-Hilal Saudi FC sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC played?
- Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.