Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:55 PM (UTC)Al Taawon Club Stadium, Buraidah
The Footlab model makes Al Taawon the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Al-Fateh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh?
Al Taawon starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Taawon have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Fateh have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Damac(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| May 15, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Al Taawon win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Al-Fateh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Al Taawon 3-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Al-Fateh 2-5 Al Taawon | Pro League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Al-Fateh 1-2 Al Taawon | Pro League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Al Taawon 2-0 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Al Taawon 1-3 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Al-Fateh 1-1 Al Taawon | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Taawon score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawon | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Taawon sit 12th in Pro League (1 points from 2 matches) and Al-Fateh sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al Taawon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh?
- The Footlab model makes Al Taawon the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Al-Fateh.
- Where and when is Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh played?
- Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:55 PM (UTC) at Al Taawon Club Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.