Al-Shabab vs Al-Nahda: prediction and stats
Professional LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:10 PM (UTC)Al-Seeb Stadium, Seeb
The Footlab model makes Al-Shabab the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Al-Nahda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Shabab vs Al-Nahda?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Al-Shabab (1,579) and Al-Nahda (1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Shabab have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Nahda have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Al-Nahda(away) | 3-2 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Seeb(home) | 0-0 | Professional League |
| May 14, 2026 | Dhofar(away) | 0-2 | Professional League |
| May 8, 2026 | Sur(away) | 0-2 | Professional League |
| May 4, 2026 | Al-Rustaq(home) | 1-0 | Professional League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Al-Shabab(home) | 2-3 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Bahla(away) | 1-2 | Professional League |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Seeb(home) | 0-4 | Professional League |
| May 8, 2026 | Sohar(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| May 4, 2026 | Al Nasr(away) | 1-0 | Professional League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al-Shabab win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Al-Nahda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Al-Nahda 2-3 Al-Shabab | Professional League |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Al-Shabab 3-1 Al-Nahda | Professional League |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Al-Nahda 2-0 Al-Shabab | FA Cup |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Al-Shabab 1-1 Al-Nahda | Professional League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Al-Nahda 1-0 Al-Shabab | Professional League |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Al-Nahda 0-0 Al-Shabab | Professional League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Nahda vs Al-Shabab on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Shabab score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nahda score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Shabab | 2.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Nahda | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Shabab sit 2nd in Professional League (54 points from 26 matches) and Al-Nahda sit 4th (44 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Shabab | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 54 |
| 4 | Al-Nahda | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Shabab vs Al-Nahda?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Shabab the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Al-Nahda.
- Where and when is Al-Shabab vs Al-Nahda played?
- Al-Shabab vs Al-Nahda is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:10 PM (UTC) at Al-Seeb Stadium, in the Professional League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.