Ibri vs Smail: prediction and stats
Professional LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Ibri Youth Complex, Ibri
The Footlab model makes Smail the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ibri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ibri vs Smail?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Ibri (1,358) and Smail (1,370).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ibri have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Smail have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Al Seeb(away) | 1-7 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Dhofar(home) | 2-0 | Professional League |
| May 12, 2026 | Al-Rustaq(away) | 0-2 | Professional League |
| May 3, 2026 | Sur(home) | 1-2 | Professional League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Saham(away) | 2-1 | Professional League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Bahla(home) | 0-1 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Nasr(away) | 1-1 | Professional League |
| May 14, 2026 | Sohar(home) | 2-1 | Professional League |
| May 5, 2026 | Oman Club(away) | 1-2 | Professional League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al-Nahda(home) | 0-1 | Professional League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ibri win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Smail win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ibri 2-3 Smail | Professional League |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Smail 0-1 Ibri | Professional League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ibri score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Smail score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibri | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Smail | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ibri sit 12th in Professional League (23 points from 26 matches) and Smail sit 10th (26 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Smail | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 39 | 26 |
| 12 | Ibri | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 27 | 52 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ibri vs Smail?
- The Footlab model makes Smail the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ibri.
- Where and when is Ibri vs Smail played?
- Ibri vs Smail is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Ibri Youth Complex, in the Professional League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.