NEOM vs Al Shabab: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabouk
The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEOM wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,128 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEOM vs Al Shabab?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate NEOM (1,867) and Al Shabab (1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEOM vs Al Shabab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEOM
4-4-2- 91A. Lacazette
- 10S. Benrahma
- 15Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
- 19Mohannad Abu Taha
- 14Khalil Al Absi
- 7G. Masouras
- 5M. Sarr
- 44N. Zézé
- 27Islam Hawsawi
- 55Muhammad Al Dosari
- 1M. Bułka
Al Shabab
4-4-2- 9Roger Martínez
- 49Ricardo Mathias
- 29Y. Adli
- 8J. Brownhill
- 37A. Matuq
- 11Daniel Podence
- 4T. Jedvaj
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
- 21Dhari Al Anazi
- 55Ali Al Bulayhi
- 1M. Diaw
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 04:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEOM have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Al Shabab have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut(home) | 4-0 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 2-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 NEOM win, 0 draws, 1 Al Shabab win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | NEOM 2-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Al Shabab 3-2 NEOM | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
NEOM score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shabab score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM | 1.8 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Shabab | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEOM sit 6th in Pro League (16 points from 10 matches) and Al Shabab sit 11th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | NEOM | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 11 | Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
A question about NEOM vs Al Shabab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEOM vs Al Shabab?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is NEOM vs Al Shabab played?
- NEOM vs Al Shabab is played on May 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Khalid Sport City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.