Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Al-Farwaniya Stadium (Al-Tadhamon Stadium), Ardiyah
The Footlab model makes Al Tadhamon the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Al Tadhamon (1,424) and Al Shabab (1,358).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Tadhamon have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Al Shabab have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Shabab(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Nasar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Jahra(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Jahra(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Nasar(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Al Jahra(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Tadhamon win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Al Shabab win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Tadhamon 1-3 Al Shabab | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Al Shabab 0-2 Al Tadhamon | Premier League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Al Tadhamon 1-1 Al Shabab | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Al Shabab 0-3 Al Tadhamon | Crown Prince Cup |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Al Tadhamon 1-0 Al Shabab | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Al Shabab 0-0 Al Tadhamon | Emir Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Tadhamon score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shabab score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Tadhamon | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Shabab | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Tadhamon sit 7th in Premier League (21 points from 19 matches) and Al Shabab sit 8th (18 points from 18 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Tadhamon | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 21 |
| 8 | Al Shabab | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab?
- The Footlab model makes Al Tadhamon the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab played?
- Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab is played on April 30, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Al-Farwaniya Stadium (Al-Tadhamon Stadium), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.