Al Nasar vs Al Arabi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium, Ardiyah
The Footlab AI model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Al Nasar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Arabi wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Nasar vs Al Arabi?
Al Arabi starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,713 vs 1,497).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Nasar vs Al Arabi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Nasar
Not enough data to predict the Al Nasar lineup.
Al Arabi
4-3-3- 77A. Iwuala
- 6A. Porusaniei
- 98Z. Qunbar
- 95J. Rassoul
- 18K. Markneh
- 14K. Al Mershed
- 2Abd Awadi
- 23Sheldon
- 3Ammar Abdullah
- 5Jomaa Al Zlit
- 22S. Abdulghafoor
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Nasar have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Al Arabi have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Kuwait(home) | 1-7 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Qadsia(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al Salmiyah(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Istiqlol(away) | 0-2 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wathba(home) | 0-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kazma(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Sulaibikhat(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al Jahra(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Nasar win, 0 draws, 5 Al Arabi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Al Arabi 2-1 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Al Arabi 1-2 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Al Arabi 2-1 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Al Nasar 0-3 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| May 7, 2024 | Al Nasar 0-4 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Al Arabi 3-1 Al Nasar | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Nasar score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Al Arabi score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nasar | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Al Arabi | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Nasar sit 4th in Premier League (9 points from 5 matches) and Al Arabi sit 10th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al Nasar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 9 |
| 10 | Al Arabi | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Al Nasar vs Al Arabi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Nasar vs Al Arabi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Al Nasar.
- Where and when is Al Nasar vs Al Arabi played?
- Al Nasar vs Al Arabi is played on April 30, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.