Al Qadsia vs Al Jahra: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Mohammed Al-Hammad Stadium, Madīnat al-Kuwayt (Kuwait City)
The Footlab model makes Al Qadsia the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Al Jahra. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Qadsia vs Al Jahra?
Al Qadsia is a heavy favourite: 1,727 Elo points against 1,318, a 409-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Qadsia have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Al Jahra have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Al Kuwait(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Kazma(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Al Arabi(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Nasar(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Al Qadsia(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Al Qadsia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Al Jahra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Al Qadsia 3-0 Al Jahra | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Al Jahra 0-2 Al Qadsia | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Al Qadsia 2-1 Al Jahra | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Al Jahra 1-2 Al Qadsia | Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2023 | Al Qadsia 1-1 Al Jahra | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Al Jahra 3-1 Al Qadsia | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Qadsia vs Al Jahra on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Qadsia score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Jahra score 0.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Qadsia | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Jahra | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Qadsia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Qadsia vs Al Jahra?
- The Footlab model makes Al Qadsia the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Al Jahra.
- Where and when is Al Qadsia vs Al Jahra played?
- Al Qadsia vs Al Jahra is played on April 30, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Mohammed Al-Hammad Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.