Al Najma vs Al Ula: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Najma Club Stadium, Unaizah
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ula the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Al Najma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Ula wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al Ula?
Al Ula starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Najma vs Al Ula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Najma
3-5-2- 10Faisal Al Mutairi
- 8Abdulelah Al Shammry
- 7João Novais
- 5Afonso Taira
- 17Ahmad Al Badah
- 16Muhammad Sahlouli
- 88Nabil Emad Dunga
- 3Diogo Queirós
- 70Khalid Bin Shuwayii
- 13Khalid Al Khathlan
- 22B. Al Khamali
Al Ula
4-3-3- 91S. Sow
- 96Michael
- 9Abdulfattah Adam
- 29Mohammed Al-Majhad
- 67R. Quioto
- 8Abdulmajeed Al Sulaiheem
- 5Y. Barbet
- 24Ammar Al Dohaim
- 2Yasser Yaqoub Ibrahim
- 4Yousef Haqawi
- 13Abdulquddus Atiah
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Najma have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Al Ula have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Hajer(away) | 4-2 | Division 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Damac(home) | 3-0 | Division 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Anwar(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Raed(home) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Okhdood(away) | 2-2 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Okhdood(away) | 5-1 | Division 1 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jeddah Club(home) | 3-0 | Division 1 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Damac(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Al-Raed(home) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Najma score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ula score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Najma | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Ula | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Najma sit 4th in Division 1 (13 points from 8 matches) and Al Ula sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ula | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Najma | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Al Najma vs Al Ula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Najma vs Al Ula?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ula the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Al Najma.
- Where and when is Al Najma vs Al Ula played?
- Al Najma vs Al Ula is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Najma Club Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.