Al-Wasl FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Zabeel Stadium, Dubai
The Footlab model makes Shabab Al Ahli Dubai the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Al-Wasl FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Wasl FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (2,006 vs 1,906).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Wasl FC have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Shabab Al Ahli Dubai have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad Kalba(away) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dubai United(home) | 5-1 | Pro League |
| May 15, 2026 | Al-Ittihad Kalba(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| May 11, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| May 6, 2026 | Al Wahda FC(away) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Dhafra(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Khorfakkan(away) | 5-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Al Bataeh(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Wasl FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | Al-Wasl FC 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Pro League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3-1 Al-Wasl FC | Pro League |
| May 3, 2025 | Al-Wasl FC 2-1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Pro League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Al-Wasl FC 0-1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Presidents Cup |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3-0 Al-Wasl FC | Pro League |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Al-Wasl FC 2-2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Super Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al-Wasl FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai on Feb 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Wasl FC score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Shabab Al Ahli Dubai score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Wasl FC | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Wasl FC sit 1st in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Wasl FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
- The Footlab model makes Shabab Al Ahli Dubai the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Al-Wasl FC.
- Where and when is Al-Wasl FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai played?
- Al-Wasl FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Zabeel Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.