Al Ain vs Al Nasr: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium, Al-'Ayn (Al Ain)
The Footlab model makes Al Ain the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Al Nasr. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ain vs Al Nasr?
Al Ain starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (2,017 vs 1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ain have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Al Nasr have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Khorfakkan(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Baniyas SC(away) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Elche(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 4-1 | Presidents Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Wahda FC(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Ittihad Kalba(home) | 2-2 | Pro League |
| May 15, 2026 | Ajman(away) | 2-2 | Pro League |
| May 11, 2026 | Al-Ittihad Kalba(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| May 6, 2026 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Ain win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Al Nasr win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Al Ain 1-1 Al Nasr | Pro League |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Al Nasr 2-2 Al Ain | Pro League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Al Ain 0-2 Al Nasr | League Cup |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Al Nasr 0-3 Al Ain | League Cup |
| May 23, 2025 | Al Nasr 0-2 Al Ain | Pro League |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Al Ain 4-1 Al Nasr | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ain score 2.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Nasr score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ain | 2.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Nasr | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ain sit 3rd in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al Nasr sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Al Nasr | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ain vs Al Nasr?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ain the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Al Nasr.
- Where and when is Al Ain vs Al Nasr played?
- Al Ain vs Al Nasr is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.