Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:55 PM (UTC)Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Khor Fakkan
The Footlab model makes Khorfakkan the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Al-Dhafra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Khorfakkan (1,666) and Al-Dhafra (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khorfakkan have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Al-Dhafra have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Ain(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(home) | 1-5 | Pro League |
| May 15, 2026 | Sharjah FC(away) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| May 11, 2026 | Al Wahda FC(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| May 5, 2026 | Al-Ittihad Kalba(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sharjah FC(home) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Al Wahda FC(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Khorfakkan win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Al-Dhafra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Al-Dhafra 2-3 Khorfakkan | Pro League |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Khorfakkan 2-3 Al-Dhafra | Pro League |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Al-Dhafra 1-3 Khorfakkan | Pro League |
| Nov 11, 2022 | Khorfakkan 4-3 Al-Dhafra | Pro League |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Al-Dhafra 4-1 Khorfakkan | Pro League |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Al-Dhafra 1-2 Khorfakkan | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al-Dhafra vs Khorfakkan on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Khorfakkan score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Dhafra score 0.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khorfakkan | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Dhafra | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khorfakkan sit 14th in Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Al-Dhafra sit 13th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Al-Dhafra | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Khorfakkan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra?
- The Footlab model makes Khorfakkan the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Al-Dhafra.
- Where and when is Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra played?
- Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:55 PM (UTC) at Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.