Alashkert vs Van: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nairi, Yerevan
The Footlab model makes Alashkert the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 9% for Van. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alashkert vs Van?
Alashkert starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,690 vs 1,566).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alashkert have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Van have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Gandzasar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | BKMA(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ararat(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alashkert win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Van win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Van 0-1 Alashkert | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Alashkert 1-0 Van | Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Van 1-2 Alashkert | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Alashkert 2-2 Van | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Van 1-1 Alashkert | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Alashkert 1-1 Van | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Alashkert score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Van score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alashkert | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Van | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alashkert sit 3rd in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Van sit 12th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alashkert | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Van | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alashkert vs Van?
- The Footlab model makes Alashkert the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 9% for Van.
- Where and when is Alashkert vs Van played?
- Alashkert vs Van is played on September 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nairi, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.