Shirak vs Van: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
The Footlab model makes Shirak the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Van. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shirak vs Van?
Van starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,567 vs 1,451).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shirak have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Van have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Urartu(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 26, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Shirak win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Van win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Van 1-0 Shirak | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Shirak 2-3 Van | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Van 3-2 Shirak | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Shirak 0-1 Van | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Van 1-0 Shirak | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Shirak 0-3 Van | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Shirak score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Van score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shirak | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Van | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shirak sit 7th in Premier League (4 points from 4 matches) and Van sit 12th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shirak | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Van | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shirak vs Van?
- The Footlab model makes Shirak the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Van.
- Where and when is Shirak vs Van played?
- Shirak vs Van is played on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gyumri City Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.