FC Noah vs Gandzasar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Armaviri Hakob Tonoyani Stadium, Armavir
The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Gandzasar. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Noah vs Gandzasar?
FC Noah is a heavy favourite: 1,913 Elo points against 1,453 — a 460-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Noah have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Gandzasar have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shirak(away) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 FC Noah win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gandzasar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Gandzasar 1-4 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Gandzasar 0-3 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | FC Noah 4-1 Gandzasar | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | FC Noah 1-0 Gandzasar | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | FC Noah 4-0 Gandzasar | Cup |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Gandzasar 0-3 FC Noah | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Noah score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gandzasar score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Noah | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gandzasar | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Noah sit 1st in Premier League (9 points from 3 matches) and Gandzasar sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Gandzasar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Noah vs Gandzasar?
- The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Gandzasar.
- Where and when is FC Noah vs Gandzasar played?
- FC Noah vs Gandzasar is played on September 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Armaviri Hakob Tonoyani Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.