Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Gorgonzola
The Footlab model makes Albinoleffe the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Albinoleffe (1,769) and Pergolettese (1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albinoleffe have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Pergolettese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Albinoleffe win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Pergolettese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Albinoleffe 3-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Pergolettese 0-0 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Pergolettese 1-2 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Albinoleffe 3-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Pergolettese 1-1 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Albinoleffe 1-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Albinoleffe score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albinoleffe | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Pergolettese | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albinoleffe sit 5th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Pergolettese sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Albinoleffe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 20 | Pergolettese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?
- The Footlab model makes Albinoleffe the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Pergolettese.
- Where and when is Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese played?
- Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.