Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Gorgonzola
The Footlab AI model makes Albinoleffe the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Albinoleffe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Albinoleffe (1,748) and Pergolettese (1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Albinoleffe
4-3-3- 70J. Desogus
- 11G. Sali
- 18A. Orfei
- 5A. Mandelli
- 14S. Sassi
- 17S. Ciko
- 4S. Potop
- 23E. Sottini
- 77L. Ballo
- 2B. Barba
- 12G. Baldi
Pergolettese
4-3-3- 10D. Ferrandino
- 49E. Zaia
- 7A. Pala
- 4M. Arini
- 20M. Tremolada
- 80Z. Jaohuari
- 5T. Silvestri
- 76L. Roversi
- 15C. Dell'Orco
- 73E. Bassi
- 22F. Doldi
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albinoleffe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pergolettese have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 5-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Trento(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Albinoleffe wins, 2 draws, 0 Pergolettese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Albinoleffe 3-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Pergolettese 0-0 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Pergolettese 1-2 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Albinoleffe 3-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Pergolettese 1-1 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Albinoleffe 1-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Albinoleffe score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pergolettese score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albinoleffe | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Pergolettese | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albinoleffe sit 9th in Serie C - Girone A (12 points from 9 matches) and Pergolettese sit 12th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 12 | Pergolettese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Albinoleffe the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Pergolettese.
- Where and when is Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese played?
- Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.