Alcorcon vs Algeciras: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Algeciras. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Algeciras?
On Elo ratings, Alcorcon has 1,930 points and Algeciras 1,870.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcorcon vs Algeciras
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 3Arnau Gaixas
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Algeciras
4-3-3- 18Pau Martínez
- 9R. Rubio
- 7Juanma García
- 20Jony Álamo
- 6Óscar Castro
- 8Iván Turrillo
- 11Tomás Sánchez
- 3J. Marquez
- 2Fran Carmona
- 5Ángel
- 1Iván Moreno
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcorcon have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Algeciras have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 2-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Alcorcon win, 3 draws, 2 Algeciras wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Alcorcon 0-0 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Algeciras 1-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Algeciras 2-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Alcorcon 1-1 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Algeciras 0-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Alcorcon 2-0 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Alcorcon vs Algeciras on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Algeciras score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Algeciras | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcorcon sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 7 matches) and Algeciras sit 15th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alcorcon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Alcorcon vs Algeciras?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcorcon vs Algeciras?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Algeciras.
- Where and when is Alcorcon vs Algeciras played?
- Alcorcon vs Algeciras is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santo Domingo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.