Zaragoza vs Rayo Majadahonda: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Romareda, Zaragoza
The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Zaragoza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaragoza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Rayo Majadahonda starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,980 vs 1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaragoza have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Rayo Majadahonda have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Zaragoza win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Rayo Majadahonda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | Rayo Majadahonda 2-2 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Zaragoza 2-1 Rayo Majadahonda | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Rayo Majadahonda vs Zaragoza on Jan 19, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Zaragoza score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Majadahonda score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Rayo Majadahonda | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaragoza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
- The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Zaragoza.
- Where and when is Zaragoza vs Rayo Majadahonda played?
- Zaragoza vs Rayo Majadahonda is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Romareda, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.