Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
The Footlab model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Juventud Torremolinos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Alcorcon (1,894) and Juventud Torremolinos (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcorcon have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Juventud Torremolinos have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tarazona(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Alcorcon win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Juventud Torremolinos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos 1-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Alcorcon 1-1 Juventud Torremolinos | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Juventud Torremolinos vs Alcorcon on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcorcon score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud Torremolinos score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Juventud Torremolinos | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcorcon sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (51 points from 38 matches) and Juventud Torremolinos sit 15th (46 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44 | 38 | 51 |
| 15 | Juventud Torremolinos | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 45 | 51 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos?
- The Footlab model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Juventud Torremolinos.
- Where and when is Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos played?
- Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santo Domingo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.