Alcorcon vs Real Jaén: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Real Jaén. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcorcon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Alcorcon (1,905) and Real Jaén (1,962).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcorcon vs Real Jaén
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 3Arnau Gaixas
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Real Jaén
4-3-3- 11Mario Martos
- 9Marco Siverio
- 19M. Keita
- 8Antonio Caballero
- 6Jose Alvarez
- 10Paz Adri
- 21Mohamed Sanhaji
- 3D. Serrano
- 4J. Pol
- 24Alejandro Cea
- 1J. Morillas
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcorcon have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Jaén have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Jaén score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Jaén | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcorcon sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 7 matches) and Real Jaén sit 7th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alcorcon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Real Jaén | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
A question about Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Real Jaén.
- Where and when is Alcorcon vs Real Jaén played?
- Alcorcon vs Real Jaén is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santo Domingo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.