Águilas vs Gimnastic: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rubial, Águilas
The Footlab AI model makes Águilas the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Gimnastic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Águilas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águilas vs Gimnastic?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Águilas (1,866) and Gimnastic (1,781).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Águilas vs Gimnastic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Águilas
4-3-3- 11Josema Raigal
- 19G. Serrano Iranzo
- 10Javi Castedo
- 8Mario Abenza
- 5A. Perez
- 6Y. El Arbaoui
- 3José Mas
- 2Johan Terranova
- 22Álex Revuelta
- 4Antonio Sánchez
- 13Jose Salcedo
Gimnastic
4-3-3- 12S. Bakış
- 20C. Segura
- 19Joan Prohens
- 8Marc Montalvo
- 16M. Babanzila
- 10Eugeni Valderrama
- 23Manel Royo
- 22Joseda
- 21I. Athuman
- 15José Amo
- 13Vicent Abril
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gimnastic have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 4-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Águilas score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnastic score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Gimnastic | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águilas sit 17th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (6 points from 7 matches) and Gimnastic sit 14th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Gimnastic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Águilas | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Águilas vs Gimnastic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águilas vs Gimnastic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Águilas the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Gimnastic.
- Where and when is Águilas vs Gimnastic played?
- Águilas vs Gimnastic is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.