Alcoyano vs Ucam Murcia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Collao, Alcoy
The Footlab AI model makes Alcoyano the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ucam Murcia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcoyano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Ucam Murcia?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Alcoyano (1,912) and Ucam Murcia (1,950).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcoyano vs Ucam Murcia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcoyano
Not enough data to predict the Alcoyano lineup.
Ucam Murcia
4-3-3- 11Dani Aquino
- 7Alvarito
- 18J. Pontones
- 19Juanma Bravo
- 8U. Urzelay
- 20Alberto Soto
- 6O. Jaiteh
- 2J. Ruiz
- 4Ramirez Javi
- 23M. Sevila
- 1F. Ackermann
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcoyano have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ucam Murcia have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Alcoyano wins, 0 draws, 1 Ucam Murcia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ucam Murcia 2-0 Alcoyano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Ucam Murcia 1-2 Alcoyano | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 15, 2021 | Alcoyano 3-2 Ucam Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ucam Murcia vs Alcoyano on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcoyano score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ucam Murcia score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcoyano | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Ucam Murcia | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcoyano sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (11 points from 8 matches) and Ucam Murcia sit 1st (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ucam Murcia | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 18 |
| 10 | Alcoyano | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 11 |
A question about Alcoyano vs Ucam Murcia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcoyano vs Ucam Murcia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcoyano the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ucam Murcia.
- Where and when is Alcoyano vs Ucam Murcia played?
- Alcoyano vs Ucam Murcia is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Collao, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.