Intercity vs Lorca Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Antonio Solana, Alicante
The Footlab model makes Intercity the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Lorca Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Intercity vs Lorca Deportiva?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Intercity (1,802) and Lorca Deportiva (1,860).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Intercity have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lorca Deportiva have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Xerez(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Intercity score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lorca Deportiva score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercity | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Intercity vs Lorca Deportiva?
- The Footlab model makes Intercity the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Lorca Deportiva.
- Where and when is Intercity vs Lorca Deportiva played?
- Intercity vs Lorca Deportiva is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Antonio Solana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.