Ucam Murcia vs La Nucía: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 · Matchday 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for La Nucía. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ucam Murcia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,490 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs La Nucía?
On Elo ratings, Ucam Murcia has 1,933 points and La Nucía 1,859.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ucam Murcia vs La Nucía
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ucam Murcia
4-3-3- 11Dani Aquino
- 7Alvarito
- 18J. Pontones
- 19Juanma Bravo
- 8U. Urzelay
- 20Alberto Soto
- 6O. Jaiteh
- 2J. Ruiz
- 4Ramirez Javi
- 23M. Sevila
- 1F. Ackermann
La Nucía
Not enough data to predict the La Nucía lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 06:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ucam Murcia have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; La Nucía have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Ucam Murcia win, 0 draws, 0 La Nucía wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2022 | Ucam Murcia 1-0 La Nucía | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ucam Murcia vs La Nucía on Jul 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Ucam Murcia score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; La Nucía score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ucam Murcia | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| La Nucía | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ucam Murcia sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (19 points from 10 matches) and La Nucía sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ucam Murcia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | La Nucía | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
A question about Ucam Murcia vs La Nucía?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ucam Murcia vs La Nucía?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for La Nucía.
- Where and when is Ucam Murcia vs La Nucía played?
- Ucam Murcia vs La Nucía is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.