Alcúdia vs Constància: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Constància the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Alcúdia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Constància wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcúdia vs Constància?
Constància starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcúdia vs Constància
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcúdia
Not enough data to predict the Alcúdia lineup.
Constància
Not enough data to predict the Constància lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcúdia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Constància have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 2-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Constància(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Santanyí(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arenal(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mercadal(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Alcúdia(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Alcúdia win, 1 draw, 4 Constància wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Constància 2-0 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Constància 5-0 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Alcúdia 1-0 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2025 | Constància 5-2 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Alcúdia 1-1 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Constància 3-2 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Constància vs Alcúdia on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcúdia score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Constància score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcúdia | 1.6 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Constància | 2.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcúdia sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (9 points from 6 matches) and Constància sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Constància | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Alcúdia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Alcúdia vs Constància?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcúdia vs Constància?
- The Footlab AI model makes Constància the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Alcúdia.
- Where and when is Alcúdia vs Constància played?
- Alcúdia vs Constància is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.